US Alessandria vs AC Monza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.6%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
23.6%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-33%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
US Alessandria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 1954 |
VIC
1 - 0
USA
61%
21%
18%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1953 |
USA
1 - 1
CAG
49%
24%
28%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1953 |
USA
5 - 0
ATP
67%
19%
14%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 1953 |
FAN
2 - 1
USA
59%
21%
21%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1953 |
USA
2 - 3
VER
58%
22%
19%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
AC Monza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 1954 |
FAN
2 - 1
ASS
51%
23%
26%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1953 |
ASS
2 - 2
PRO
40%
24%
36%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1953 |
ASS
3 - 0
BRE
54%
24%
22%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 1953 |
VER
4 - 0
ASS
58%
22%
20%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 1953 |
COM
4 - 1
ASS
64%
20%
17%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | -1 |