US Alessandria vs AC Marzotto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.4%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.9%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
24%
21%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
17.6%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
US Alessandria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 1954 |
SAL
1 - 1
USA
52%
24%
24%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1954 |
USA
1 - 0
ASS
54%
23%
24%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1954 |
VIC
1 - 0
USA
61%
21%
18%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1953 |
USA
1 - 1
CAG
49%
24%
28%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1953 |
USA
5 - 0
ATP
67%
19%
14%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
AC Marzotto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 1954 |
CAT
3 - 0
ACM
67%
20%
13%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1954 |
MES
2 - 0
ACM
52%
26%
22%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1954 |
ACM
0 - 0
BRE
54%
24%
23%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1953 |
VER
1 - 1
ACM
65%
20%
15%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1953 |
CAG
3 - 0
ACM
69%
19%
13%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | -1 |