Alençon vs Stade Pontivy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.4%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
26.3%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alençon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
AFV
0 - 0
ALE
56%
21%
23%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
ALE
0 - 0
DIE
56%
22%
22%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
ALE
3 - 3
LHA
5%
13%
82%
|
28 | 68 | 40 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
AVR
0 - 1
ALE
29%
24%
47%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
OIS
3 - 3
ALE
61%
22%
18%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Stade Pontivy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
SGF
0 - 1
STA
10%
15%
75%
|
24 | 7 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
DIN
3 - 0
STA
67%
18%
15%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
STA
1 - 0
PON
29%
24%
47%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | +2 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
STA
3 - 1
LAN
28%
23%
49%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
USF
4 - 1
STA
53%
22%
25%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | -1 |