Alençon vs Mondeville analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.1%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.3%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.7%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
43.1%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alençon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
CAE
1 - 0
ALE
63%
18%
19%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2018 |
ALE
0 - 0
QUE
61%
19%
19%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
AVR
1 - 1
ALE
38%
22%
40%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
ALE
1 - 3
OIS
23%
20%
57%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
EVR
2 - 1
ALE
46%
24%
31%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Mondeville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
MON
1 - 2
OIS
35%
24%
41%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2018 |
MON
2 - 0
DIV
83%
12%
5%
|
34 | 16 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
EVR
0 - 1
MON
39%
27%
34%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
MON
1 - 0
QUE
72%
16%
12%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2018 |
MON
2 - 0
GON
75%
15%
10%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | 0 |