Alençon vs Le Havre II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.1%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
7%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.7%
16.2%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
-32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alençon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
CHE
0 - 2
ALE
23%
22%
55%
|
32 | 20 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
OIS
1 - 1
ALE
53%
22%
25%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
ALE
0 - 1
DIE
64%
19%
17%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2022 |
BAY
1 - 2
ALE
13%
19%
68%
|
32 | 17 | 15 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
ALE
2 - 1
DIV
73%
16%
12%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Le Havre II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
LEH
0 - 1
EVR
31%
24%
45%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
DIE
1 - 0
LEH
47%
25%
29%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
DIV
1 - 0
LEH
29%
24%
47%
|
29 | 20 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
BAY
0 - 0
LEH
14%
19%
67%
|
30 | 17 | 13 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
LEH
1 - 1
AVR
70%
17%
13%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | 0 |