Alençon vs Le Havre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
4.7%
Win probability
0.42
Expected goals
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.5%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.7%
1-0
2.4%
2-1
1.2%
3-2
0.2%
4-3
<0%
+1
3.9%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
13.4%
81.9%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
0-1
14.1%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
17.1%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
23.7%
0-3
13.8%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
17.7%
0-4
8.4%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
10.3%
0-5
4.1%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.8%
0-6
1.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.9%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alençon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
AVR
0 - 1
ALE
29%
24%
47%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
OIS
3 - 3
ALE
61%
22%
18%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
ALE
2 - 1
GON
70%
18%
12%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
CHE
2 - 0
ALE
42%
24%
34%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | -2 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
AGC
4 - 1
ALE
32%
23%
45%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | -2 |
Matches
Le Havre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2022 |
LHA
2 - 0
MET
36%
28%
36%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
ROD
1 - 1
LHA
27%
28%
45%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
LHA
3 - 0
BAS
39%
28%
33%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
DIJ
0 - 0
LHA
38%
27%
35%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
LHA
2 - 0
ANN
44%
28%
28%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | +1 |