Alençon vs Grand-Quevilly analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78%
Win probability
2.74
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.3%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.4%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.8%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
13.7%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
13.7%
8.3%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
+63%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
3º
14º
6º
18
6º
13º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
59 | 59 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 42 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 41 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
34% | |
|
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
66% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 39 |
7º
|
66% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 34 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 31 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
18 | 18 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 16 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alençon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
ALE
2 - 1
DIV
64%
19%
17%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
ALE
2 - 2
LEH
49%
24%
27%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
QUE
0 - 0
ALE
40%
24%
36%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
ALE
5 - 0
MGA
77%
14%
9%
|
30 | 18 | 12 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
ALE
0 - 0
STA
51%
22%
26%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Grand-Quevilly
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
GRQ
1 - 4
AGC
23%
21%
57%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
GRQ
0 - 1
SAI
33%
21%
46%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
LEH
0 - 1
GRQ
79%
13%
8%
|
20 | 31 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
GRQ
0 - 4
QUE
42%
23%
35%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
MGA
0 - 0
GRQ
36%
22%
42%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | -1 |