Alençon vs Gonfreville analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.9%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6%
3-0
6%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
19%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19%
19%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alençon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2018 |
SAI
1 - 1
ALE
57%
20%
23%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2018 |
ALE
3 - 2
GON
59%
20%
21%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
ALE
4 - 1
DIV
73%
16%
12%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2018 |
DIE
0 - 0
ALE
46%
23%
31%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
PAM
1 - 1
ALE
35%
23%
42%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Gonfreville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2018 |
GON
1 - 1
CAE
21%
21%
57%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2018 |
ALE
3 - 2
GON
59%
20%
21%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
GON
1 - 1
AVR
31%
22%
47%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2018 |
ROU
1 - 1
GON
53%
24%
24%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
GON
1 - 3
OIS
13%
19%
68%
|
21 | 38 | 17 | -1 |