Alençon vs Gonfreville analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
20%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
21%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alençon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2018 |
ALE
4 - 1
DIV
73%
16%
12%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2018 |
DIE
0 - 0
ALE
46%
23%
31%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
PAM
1 - 1
ALE
35%
23%
42%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
ALE
1 - 0
ROU
59%
20%
21%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
BAY
5 - 2
ALE
19%
20%
61%
|
24 | 16 | 8 | -2 |
Matches
Gonfreville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2018 |
GON
1 - 1
AVR
31%
22%
47%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2018 |
ROU
1 - 1
GON
53%
24%
24%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
GON
1 - 3
OIS
13%
19%
68%
|
23 | 39 | 16 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
EVR
4 - 1
GON
61%
23%
16%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
GON
1 - 0
QUE
44%
23%
33%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | +1 |