Alençon vs Evreux 27 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.7%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
4%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.8%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.8%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
46.5%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alençon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
AVR
2 - 1
ALE
35%
23%
42%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
ALE
1 - 5
SAI
58%
20%
22%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | -2 |
| 25 May. 2019 |
GON
4 - 5
ALE
36%
23%
41%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2019 |
ALE
1 - 0
FCR
8%
18%
74%
|
26 | 57 | 31 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2019 |
BAY
1 - 1
ALE
29%
23%
49%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Evreux 27
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
EVR
0 - 0
AGC
68%
18%
15%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
AFV
1 - 1
EVR
30%
23%
47%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2019 |
BAY
1 - 1
EVR
15%
20%
65%
|
35 | 19 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2019 |
EVR
3 - 2
CHE
61%
21%
18%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2019 |
CAE
2 - 3
EVR
23%
22%
55%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | 0 |