Alençon vs Evreux 27 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.6%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.5%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.3%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
44.7%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alençon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
ALA
0 - 2
ALE
16%
19%
65%
|
26 | 15 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
SAI
0 - 2
ALE
65%
18%
17%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
AVR
0 - 0
ALE
49%
22%
29%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
ALE
1 - 2
PAM
75%
15%
11%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
DIE
0 - 0
ALE
45%
23%
32%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Evreux 27
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
EVR
4 - 1
PAM
78%
14%
8%
|
35 | 19 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
DIE
0 - 3
EVR
22%
24%
54%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
EVR
2 - 0
QUE
72%
18%
10%
|
34 | 21 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2019 |
GON
1 - 2
EVR
27%
25%
48%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
SAI
3 - 0
EVR
23%
23%
54%
|
35 | 21 | 14 | -1 |