Alençon vs Dieppe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.2%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
22%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
21.7%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
+61%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
3º
14º
6º
42
2º
9º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
59 | 59 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
42 | 42 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 41 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
34% | |
|
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
66% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 39 |
7º
|
66% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 34 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 31 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 18 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 16 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alençon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
ALE
3 - 3
LHA
5%
13%
82%
|
28 | 68 | 40 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
AVR
0 - 1
ALE
29%
24%
47%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
OIS
3 - 3
ALE
61%
22%
18%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
ALE
2 - 1
GON
70%
18%
12%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
CHE
2 - 0
ALE
42%
24%
34%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Dieppe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
DIE
3 - 1
GRQ
53%
22%
25%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
SAI
1 - 0
DIE
39%
25%
36%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
DIE
0 - 0
LEH
39%
26%
35%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
QUE
0 - 2
DIE
50%
23%
27%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
DIE
3 - 2
MGA
56%
21%
22%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | 0 |