Alençon vs Bayeux analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.8%
Win probability
2.95
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.4%
5-0
5.5%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.2%
4-0
9.2%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.9%
3-0
12.6%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.9%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.5%
10.6%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
5%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
10.6%
4.6%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.6%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alençon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
DIV
2 - 0
ALE
21%
21%
57%
|
28 | 17 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
ALE
1 - 1
AVR
66%
18%
16%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
SAI
1 - 0
ALE
38%
23%
38%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
ALE
0 - 0
QUE
72%
16%
12%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
AGC
1 - 2
ALE
33%
23%
44%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Bayeux
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
BAY
0 - 5
EVR
6%
13%
82%
|
13 | 37 | 24 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
OIS
3 - 0
BAY
84%
11%
5%
|
13 | 35 | 22 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
BAY
1 - 2
DIE
13%
19%
68%
|
13 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
BAY
0 - 1
CHE
22%
21%
57%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
DIV
2 - 0
BAY
70%
16%
14%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | -1 |