Alençon vs Bayeux analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.5%
Win probability
2.84
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.1%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.8%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.7%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
14.5%
11%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alençon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
ALE
2 - 3
DIE
55%
20%
25%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
CHE
1 - 2
ALE
79%
13%
8%
|
23 | 34 | 11 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
ALE
2 - 2
CAE
48%
21%
31%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
EVR
2 - 2
ALE
59%
21%
20%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
ALE
4 - 2
ALA
81%
12%
7%
|
23 | 15 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Bayeux
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
BAY
0 - 2
PAM
46%
22%
32%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
DIE
1 - 0
BAY
60%
20%
19%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
BAY
1 - 0
QUE
28%
23%
49%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
SAI
3 - 0
BAY
69%
16%
15%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
BAY
0 - 2
CAE
16%
17%
67%
|
19 | 31 | 12 | -1 |