Alençon vs Bayeux analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
88.5%
Win probability
3.31
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.8%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.3%
6-0
3.8%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.1%
+6
5%
5-0
6.9%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.4%
4-0
10.5%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
15%
3-0
12.6%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.7%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.6%
8.1%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
3.9%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
8.1%
3.3%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
2.6%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alençon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
MON
0 - 0
ALE
43%
22%
35%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
ALE
4 - 1
CAE
39%
22%
39%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | +3 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
ALE
3 - 2
AVR
67%
18%
15%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
OIS
1 - 0
ALE
62%
19%
19%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
ALE
2 - 3
EVR
39%
23%
39%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Bayeux
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
BAY
1 - 3
OIS
6%
12%
82%
|
14 | 36 | 22 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
EVR
1 - 2
BAY
80%
14%
6%
|
13 | 31 | 18 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
BAY
1 - 2
QUE
11%
17%
72%
|
13 | 28 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
DIE
2 - 2
BAY
84%
11%
4%
|
13 | 36 | 23 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2017 |
BAY
1 - 1
DIV
12%
16%
72%
|
13 | 22 | 9 | 0 |