Alençon vs Villers Houlgate CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.8%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
26.1%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
+17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
50
2º
7º
2º
52
1º
13º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
52 | 52 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
50 | 50 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 44 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 39 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 38 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 36 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 29 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
26 | 26 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
25 | 25 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alençon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
LEH
3 - 1
ALE
31%
24%
45%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
ALE
1 - 1
DIE
43%
24%
32%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
ALE
5 - 2
FLE
56%
21%
23%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
LMU
1 - 2
ALE
35%
25%
40%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | +2 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
SAI
2 - 2
ALE
34%
24%
42%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Villers Houlgate CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
VHO
1 - 0
CHA
59%
20%
22%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
AGC
1 - 3
VHO
50%
21%
29%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | +2 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
QUE
0 - 1
VHO
46%
22%
32%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
FLE
1 - 2
VHO
53%
21%
27%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
DIE
0 - 1
VHO
61%
20%
19%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | +1 |