Albenga vs Chieri analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.4%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.2%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
19%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19%
17.6%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-85%
-40%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
19º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
2º
19º
18º
17
4º
20º
20º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
20º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
64 | 88 |
1º
|
94% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 76 |
2º
|
36.5% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 75 |
3º
|
32% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 74 |
4º
|
28.5% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 66 |
5º
|
28% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 66 |
6º
|
25.5% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 62 |
7º
|
29.5% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 61 |
8º
|
30.5% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 50 |
9º
|
22% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 49 |
10º
|
18% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 47 |
11º
|
11% | |
|
14º
|
30 | 47 |
12º
|
14.5% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 46 |
13º
|
11% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 45 |
14º
|
14.5% | |
|
15º
|
25 | 40 |
15º
|
14.5% | |
|
16º
|
25 | 39 |
16º
|
18% | |
|
17º
|
21 | 32 |
17º
|
16.5% | |
|
|
19º
|
19 | 32 |
18º
|
21.5% | |
|
18º
|
20 | 29 |
19º
|
25% | |
|
|
20º
|
17 | 29 |
20º
|
42% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
3% | 1.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
62% | 31% |
|
Relegation
|
35% | 67.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Albenga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2024 |
LAV
8 - 0
ABN
50%
24%
26%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
ABN
0 - 5
SNR
44%
25%
32%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | -2 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
VFC
1 - 1
ABN
58%
22%
21%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
ABN
1 - 1
DER
54%
23%
23%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2024 |
AST
0 - 1
ABN
39%
26%
35%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | +2 |
Matches
Chieri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2024 |
CHI
0 - 1
ASD
10%
21%
69%
|
30 | 51 | 21 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
GOZ
2 - 0
CHI
55%
23%
22%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
CCA
4 - 1
CHI
65%
20%
15%
|
31 | 44 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
CHI
1 - 2
OLT
75%
16%
10%
|
32 | 10 | 22 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2024 |
LAV
3 - 2
CHI
67%
19%
15%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | 0 |