Albenga vs Alba Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.4%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.5%
3-0
7%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.4%
15.2%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-91%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
60
2º
19º
8º
37
7º
19º
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
18º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
79 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
72 | 72 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
66 | 66 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
65 | 65 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
65 | 65 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
65 | 65 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
63 | 63 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
60 | 60 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
59 | 59 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
52 | 52 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
51 | 51 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
45 | 45 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
44 | 44 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
42 | 42 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
41 | 41 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
39 | 39 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
37 | 37 |
17º
|
0% | |
|
|
18º
|
37 | 37 |
18º
|
0% | |
|
19º
|
22 | 22 |
19º
|
100% | |
|
20º
|
22 | 22 |
20º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Albenga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
ASD
2 - 2
ABN
70%
18%
13%
|
23 | 40 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
ABN
1 - 0
FEZ
22%
21%
58%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | +2 |
| 04 Oct. 2023 |
CHI
0 - 5
ABN
70%
18%
12%
|
19 | 35 | 16 | +2 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
ABN
1 - 0
SNR
11%
16%
73%
|
16 | 37 | 21 | +3 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
ABN
0 - 0
VFC
12%
19%
69%
|
13 | 44 | 31 | +3 |
Matches
Alba Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
ALB
1 - 3
BOR
13%
17%
69%
|
18 | 37 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
VFC
2 - 1
ALB
85%
10%
5%
|
18 | 43 | 25 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2023 |
ALB
1 - 0
ASD
10%
17%
73%
|
12 | 45 | 33 | +6 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
ALC
1 - 0
ALB
86%
10%
4%
|
12 | 49 | 37 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
ALB
1 - 3
VOG
10%
15%
75%
|
12 | 29 | 17 | 0 |