Albenga vs Saluzzo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.7%
Win probability
2.69
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.1%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.2%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.6%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
14%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
14%
8.3%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+87%
+38%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
6
2º
11º
6º
4
12º
19º
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
12º
|
4 | 74 |
1º
|
25% | |
|
1º
|
7 | 72 |
2º
|
16.5% | |
|
8º
|
4 | 69 |
3º
|
11.5% | |
|
17º
|
2 | 67 |
4º
|
7.5% | |
|
5º
|
5 | 64 |
5º
|
10% | |
|
|
2º
|
6 | 64 |
6º
|
14.5% | |
|
6º
|
4 | 63 |
7º
|
8.5% | |
|
7º
|
4 | 60 |
8º
|
6% | |
|
15º
|
3 | 60 |
9º
|
10.5% | |
|
11º
|
4 | 57 |
10º
|
7.5% | |
|
18º
|
1 | 56 |
11º
|
14.5% | |
|
4º
|
6 | 49 |
12º
|
11.5% | |
|
14º
|
3 | 46 |
13º
|
8.5% | |
|
19º
|
0 | 44 |
14º
|
11.5% | |
|
9º
|
4 | 44 |
15º
|
10.5% | |
|
13º
|
3 | 43 |
16º
|
8% | |
|
16º
|
3 | 37 |
17º
|
14.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
4 | 32 |
18º
|
16.5% | |
|
3º
|
6 | 31 |
19º
|
20% | |
|
20º
|
0 | 24 |
20º
|
53.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
3.5% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
30.5% | 0.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
64.5% | 20.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
1.5% | 43.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 35.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Albenga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2024 |
ABN
4 - 1
FOS
74%
15%
11%
|
37 | 20 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
ASD
2 - 0
ABN
48%
25%
27%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
ABN
3 - 1
SAN
35%
26%
40%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | +2 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
LAV
1 - 2
ABN
54%
21%
25%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
ABN
0 - 2
ASD
33%
27%
40%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Saluzzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2024 |
GOZ
0 - 1
ACS
71%
18%
11%
|
18 | 35 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
ACS
0 - 0
CCA
10%
17%
73%
|
16 | 45 | 29 | +2 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
CHI
2 - 1
ACS
73%
17%
10%
|
16 | 32 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
ACS
0 - 2
PRO
20%
22%
58%
|
16 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
ASD
2 - 0
ACS
82%
12%
5%
|
17 | 35 | 18 | -1 |