Uruguay U20 vs South Africa U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.7%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.4%
4-0
7%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.4%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.4%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
7%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
14.9%
7.4%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uruguay U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2017 |
URU
2 - 0
JPN
62%
21%
18%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
ITA
0 - 1
URU
33%
25%
42%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2017 |
KOR
2 - 0
URU
30%
24%
46%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2017 |
CHN
1 - 3
URU
29%
24%
47%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2017 |
URU
0 - 1
ARG
36%
26%
38%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
South Africa U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2017 |
RSA
0 - 2
ITA
20%
23%
57%
|
49 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
RSA
1 - 2
JPN
24%
23%
53%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
RSA
1 - 2
GUI
64%
20%
16%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2017 |
ZAM
1 - 0
RSA
37%
25%
38%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
SDN
1 - 3
RSA
17%
22%
61%
|
51 | 36 | 15 | 0 |