Uruguay U20 vs Paraguay U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.6%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
26.6%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uruguay U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2018 |
CHN
3 - 1
URU
6%
12%
83%
|
71 | 47 | 24 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2018 |
URU
1 - 2
HUN
76%
15%
9%
|
71 | 50 | 21 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2018 |
ENG
2 - 2
URU
1%
6%
93%
|
71 | 7 | 64 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2018 |
URU
0 - 2
COL
58%
23%
19%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2018 |
URU
2 - 0
COL
56%
24%
21%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Paraguay U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2017 |
ECU
2 - 1
PAR
17%
21%
62%
|
66 | 52 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2017 |
PAR
2 - 1
CHI
42%
25%
33%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
BRA
3 - 2
PAR
68%
19%
13%
|
66 | 82 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2017 |
COL
1 - 1
PAR
50%
23%
27%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
PAR
1 - 5
VEN
67%
21%
13%
|
68 | 52 | 16 | -2 |