Uruguay U20 vs Italy U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.7%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
21.7%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uruguay U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2023 |
URU
1 - 0
ISR
73%
17%
10%
|
75 | 58 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
USA
0 - 2
URU
33%
25%
41%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 2023 |
GAM
0 - 1
URU
13%
21%
65%
|
74 | 53 | 21 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
TUN
0 - 1
URU
14%
21%
65%
|
73 | 53 | 20 | +1 |
| 25 May. 2023 |
URU
2 - 3
ENG
54%
23%
23%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Italy U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2023 |
ITA
2 - 1
KOR
54%
23%
23%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
COL
1 - 3
ITA
56%
22%
22%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | +2 |
| 31 May. 2023 |
ENG
1 - 2
ITA
53%
23%
24%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
DOM
0 - 3
ITA
8%
17%
76%
|
65 | 42 | 23 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2023 |
ITA
0 - 2
NGA
61%
21%
18%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | -1 |