Uruguay U20 vs Guatemala U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.1%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.4%
4-0
8.1%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.9%
3-0
12.3%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.7%
2-0
14%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
13%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
13%
5.9%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uruguay U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2016 |
URU
4 - 0
PER
62%
21%
17%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2016 |
URU
2 - 1
PER
60%
22%
18%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2016 |
URU
2 - 2
CHI
53%
24%
23%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
| 31 May. 2016 |
URU
3 - 0
CHI
50%
24%
26%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
PAR
2 - 2
URU
40%
26%
35%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Guatemala U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
GTM
1 - 2
HND
30%
25%
45%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2015 |
PAN
1 - 0
GTM
56%
23%
22%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
GTM
2 - 0
ARU
78%
15%
7%
|
50 | 21 | 29 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2015 |
GTM
2 - 0
TTO
58%
22%
21%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
JAM
0 - 1
GTM
49%
24%
28%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | +1 |