Uruguay U20 vs Ecuador U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.1%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
20%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
14.9%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uruguay U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2023 |
URU
1 - 0
COL
51%
24%
25%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
ECU
1 - 1
URU
26%
25%
49%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2023 |
URU
4 - 1
BOL
86%
11%
3%
|
72 | 46 | 26 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2023 |
URU
3 - 0
VEN
68%
19%
13%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2023 |
CHI
0 - 3
URU
35%
25%
40%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Ecuador U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2023 |
BRA
3 - 1
ECU
78%
14%
7%
|
63 | 81 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
ECU
1 - 1
URU
26%
25%
49%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2023 |
VEN
1 - 0
ECU
35%
25%
41%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
BOL
0 - 1
ECU
13%
20%
67%
|
63 | 46 | 17 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
ECU
1 - 1
CHI
38%
25%
37%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |