Uruguay Montevideo vs Cerro CA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
32.2%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uruguay Montevideo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
SUD
1 - 0
UMO
44%
28%
28%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
UMO
2 - 1
CEN
41%
28%
32%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
UMO
1 - 3
RAC
37%
28%
35%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2022 |
CSM
1 - 3
UMO
50%
27%
23%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
JUN
1 - 0
UMO
35%
29%
36%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Cerro CA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2022 |
CER
1 - 2
LUZ
39%
29%
32%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
JUV
2 - 2
CER
43%
28%
29%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
CER
1 - 0
ATE
45%
28%
27%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2022 |
PRO
2 - 1
CER
48%
27%
25%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
CER
0 - 1
CSY
48%
27%
25%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | -1 |