Uruguay Montevideo vs Cerrito analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.3%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.8%
15%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
1º
13º
1º
23
3º
13º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
36 | 50 |
1º
|
59.5% | |
|
2º
|
34 | 48 |
2º
|
30% | |
|
3º
|
30 | 47 |
3º
|
30.5% | |
|
4º
|
30 | 44 |
4º
|
37% | |
|
5º
|
26 | 35 |
5º
|
19.5% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 35 |
6º
|
22% | |
|
7º
|
23 | 34 |
7º
|
17.5% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 34 |
8º
|
10.5% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 31 |
9º
|
13% | |
|
|
9º
|
23 | 31 |
10º
|
12% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 28 |
11º
|
23% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 28 |
12º
|
18% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 24 |
13º
|
28.5% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 23 |
14º
|
51% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
87.5% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
12.5% | 17.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 82.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uruguay Montevideo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
JUV
0 - 1
UMO
41%
28%
31%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
UMO
0 - 1
TOR
35%
27%
38%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
UMO
2 - 0
ALB
50%
26%
25%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Jul. 2024 |
COL
0 - 0
UMO
27%
28%
44%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
UMO
0 - 0
SUD
67%
21%
12%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Cerrito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
CSC
0 - 2
REN
38%
27%
35%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
CSC
1 - 0
CSC
27%
27%
46%
|
69 | 49 | 20 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
TAC
0 - 2
CSC
51%
26%
23%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
CSC
0 - 1
PLA
34%
28%
39%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
ORI
2 - 1
CSC
53%
25%
23%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |