Uruguay Montevideo vs Albion FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.8%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
24.5%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
1º
13º
1º
23
4º
12º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
36 | 50 |
1º
|
59.5% | |
|
2º
|
34 | 48 |
2º
|
30% | |
|
3º
|
30 | 47 |
3º
|
30.5% | |
|
4º
|
30 | 44 |
4º
|
37% | |
|
5º
|
26 | 35 |
5º
|
19.5% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 35 |
6º
|
22% | |
|
7º
|
23 | 34 |
7º
|
17.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
23 | 34 |
8º
|
10.5% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 31 |
9º
|
13% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 31 |
10º
|
12% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 28 |
11º
|
23% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 28 |
12º
|
18% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 24 |
13º
|
28.5% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 23 |
14º
|
51% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
87.5% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
12.5% | 34.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 65.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uruguay Montevideo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2024 |
COL
0 - 0
UMO
27%
28%
44%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
UMO
0 - 0
SUD
67%
21%
12%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2024 |
LUZ
1 - 0
UMO
39%
27%
33%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
UMO
1 - 1
ATE
64%
23%
14%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
UMO
3 - 0
REN
52%
25%
23%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Albion FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
ALB
1 - 1
REN
46%
26%
27%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2024 |
CSC
0 - 2
ALB
24%
27%
49%
|
73 | 50 | 23 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2024 |
ALB
1 - 2
TAC
48%
26%
26%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2024 |
PLA
0 - 2
ALB
46%
27%
27%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Jun. 2024 |
ALB
1 - 1
ORI
47%
26%
28%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |