Uruguay Montevideo vs Atenas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.8%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
15.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.5%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.5%
13.7%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
1º
13º
1º
20
9º
14º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
36 | 50 |
1º
|
57.5% | |
|
3º
|
30 | 47 |
2º
|
34.5% | |
|
2º
|
34 | 45 |
3º
|
35.5% | |
|
4º
|
30 | 41 |
4º
|
38% | |
|
5º
|
26 | 35 |
5º
|
21.5% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 35 |
6º
|
17% | |
|
7º
|
23 | 34 |
7º
|
23.5% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 34 |
8º
|
16.5% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 31 |
9º
|
16.5% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 31 |
10º
|
14.5% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 31 |
11º
|
15.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
20 | 28 |
12º
|
16% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 27 |
13º
|
24% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 25 |
14º
|
46% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
84.5% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
15.5% | 4.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 95.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uruguay Montevideo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
UMO
3 - 0
REN
52%
25%
23%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
CSC
0 - 1
UMO
24%
27%
48%
|
76 | 48 | 28 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2024 |
UMO
1 - 0
TAC
52%
25%
23%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Jun. 2024 |
PLA
0 - 1
UMO
43%
28%
30%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
UMO
2 - 1
ORI
51%
25%
24%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Atenas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 2024 |
ATE
1 - 3
JUV
34%
29%
37%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
REN
2 - 0
ATE
48%
28%
24%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Jun. 2024 |
ATE
1 - 0
TOR
17%
25%
58%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | +1 |
| 05 Jun. 2024 |
CSC
2 - 0
ATE
27%
29%
44%
|
69 | 46 | 23 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
ATE
2 - 1
ALB
34%
29%
38%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | +1 |