Ursus Warszawa vs Znicz Biała Piska analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.2%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
19.4%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ursus Warszawa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
SOK
3 - 2
UWA
56%
23%
21%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2018 |
UWA
2 - 1
OLI
22%
23%
55%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | +3 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
PEL
2 - 1
UWA
62%
20%
18%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
UWA
2 - 3
POL
14%
21%
65%
|
32 | 46 | 14 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2018 |
BRA
5 - 2
UWA
25%
24%
50%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | -3 |
Matches
Znicz Biała Piska
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
ZBP
1 - 2
LTM
14%
21%
65%
|
28 | 46 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
ZBP
3 - 1
MVS
27%
21%
52%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | +2 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
MKS
2 - 0
ZBP
57%
22%
21%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
ZBP
3 - 3
HUR
26%
23%
51%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2018 |
SWI
2 - 1
ZBP
76%
15%
9%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | -1 |