Ursus Warszawa vs Swit Nowy Dwor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.2%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
37.1%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-43%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ursus Warszawa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
1 - 1
UWA
47%
28%
25%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
UWA
1 - 2
SOK
49%
24%
27%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
DNM
2 - 0
UWA
69%
19%
12%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | -2 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
UWA
0 - 1
MKS
75%
16%
10%
|
39 | 25 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
HUR
1 - 0
UWA
45%
27%
29%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Swit Nowy Dwor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2017 |
SWI
0 - 0
LOM
65%
21%
15%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
LWA
3 - 2
SWI
52%
24%
25%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
SWI
2 - 0
LTM
33%
27%
40%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
CON
1 - 2
SWI
19%
24%
58%
|
39 | 25 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
SWI
1 - 2
WLO
26%
25%
49%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | 0 |