Ursus Warszawa vs Polonia Warszawa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.1%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.1%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
54.1%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ursus Warszawa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2017 |
PEL
0 - 1
UWA
51%
25%
24%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2017 |
UWA
2 - 1
LKS
22%
27%
51%
|
34 | 46 | 12 | +1 |
| 10 Jun. 2017 |
JAG
0 - 1
UWA
33%
27%
40%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2017 |
UWA
2 - 0
RWM
75%
15%
10%
|
34 | 21 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2017 |
HWP
4 - 1
UWA
14%
20%
66%
|
36 | 17 | 19 | -2 |
Matches
Polonia Warszawa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
POL
1 - 2
HUR
78%
14%
7%
|
47 | 33 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2017 |
SOK
2 - 0
POL
23%
24%
53%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | -3 |
| 03 Jun. 2017 |
POL
1 - 2
RAK
33%
27%
40%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2017 |
KOT
2 - 2
POL
34%
26%
41%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
POL
2 - 1
OLI
67%
20%
14%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |