Ursus Warszawa vs GKS Pogon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.7%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.2%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.3%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
59.6%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.7%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+74%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
5º
18º
18º
64
1º
10º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
68 | 68 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
64 | 64 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
64 | 64 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
61 | 61 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
55 | 55 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
55 | 55 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
53 | 53 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
52 | 52 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
49 | 49 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
45 | 45 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
45 | 45 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
36 | 36 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
36 | 36 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
35 | 35 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
34 | 34 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
33 | 33 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
30 | 30 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
|
18º
|
25 | 25 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ursus Warszawa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
JAG
1 - 0
UWA
54%
23%
23%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
UWA
1 - 3
KSL
13%
19%
68%
|
30 | 45 | 15 | -2 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
USK
2 - 0
UWA
54%
23%
23%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | -2 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
UWA
2 - 2
LKS
39%
23%
39%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
CON
1 - 1
UWA
24%
24%
52%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
GKS Pogon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
PGM
1 - 2
SOK
63%
19%
18%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
LTM
3 - 0
PGM
21%
24%
55%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | -3 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
PGM
1 - 2
PEL
69%
19%
12%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
KSB
3 - 5
PGM
17%
18%
65%
|
43 | 27 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
JAG
1 - 2
PGM
23%
24%
53%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | +1 |