Ursus Warszawa vs Motor Lubawa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.7%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
4.4%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
9.7%
3-0
13.4%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.2%
2-0
17%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.6%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.2%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
14.2%
5.2%
Win probability
0.44
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ursus Warszawa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
SWI
1 - 1
UWA
45%
28%
27%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
UWA
0 - 1
62%
23%
15%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2016 |
SOK
0 - 1
UWA
20%
26%
54%
|
41 | 24 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
UWA
1 - 3
DNM
44%
26%
30%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
MKS
0 - 1
UWA
25%
23%
52%
|
42 | 26 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Motor Lubawa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
MLP
1 - 1
LOM
12%
19%
69%
|
16 | 33 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
LWA
2 - 0
MLP
85%
11%
4%
|
16 | 35 | 19 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2016 |
MLP
1 - 6
LTM
12%
20%
68%
|
17 | 38 | 21 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
CON
5 - 1
MLP
59%
23%
18%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
MLP
0 - 2
WLO
8%
18%
75%
|
18 | 50 | 32 | 0 |