Ursus Warszawa vs MKS Ełk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.4%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.2%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.6%
15%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ursus Warszawa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
HUR
1 - 1
UWA
54%
23%
23%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
UWA
1 - 2
SWI
41%
24%
35%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
LOM
0 - 2
UWA
53%
23%
24%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
UWA
3 - 1
ZBP
59%
21%
19%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
SOK
3 - 2
UWA
56%
23%
21%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
MKS Ełk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
MKS
1 - 2
LTM
11%
20%
69%
|
26 | 46 | 20 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
LWA
3 - 2
MKS
65%
19%
16%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
MKS
3 - 4
MVS
34%
23%
43%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
KSL
3 - 1
MKS
79%
14%
7%
|
27 | 41 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
HUR
2 - 1
MKS
56%
23%
21%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | -2 |