Ursus Warszawa vs LKS Lodz II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.7%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.3%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
38.5%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
5º
18º
18º
68
1º
16º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
68 | 68 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
64 | 64 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
64 | 64 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
61 | 61 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
55 | 55 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
55 | 55 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
53 | 53 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
52 | 52 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
49 | 49 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
45 | 45 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
45 | 45 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
36 | 36 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
36 | 36 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
35 | 35 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
34 | 34 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
33 | 33 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
30 | 30 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
|
18º
|
25 | 25 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ursus Warszawa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
CON
1 - 1
UWA
24%
24%
52%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
UWA
3 - 3
OLI
60%
21%
19%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
PBI
0 - 0
UWA
42%
24%
34%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
UWA
1 - 1
WSI
65%
20%
16%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
LWA
2 - 2
UWA
67%
19%
15%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
LKS Lodz II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
LKS
2 - 1
SOK
52%
20%
28%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2022 |
LTM
2 - 1
LKS
36%
23%
41%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
LKS
0 - 4
PEL
64%
18%
18%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | -2 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
PGM
2 - 1
LKS
56%
23%
21%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
LKS
2 - 2
JAG
62%
18%
20%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |