Ursus Warszawa vs Lechia T. Mazowiecki analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.8%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
58.2%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.6%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
10.3%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-25%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
5º
18º
18º
55
3º
18º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
68 | 68 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
64 | 64 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
64 | 64 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
61 | 61 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
55 | 55 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
55 | 55 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
53 | 53 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
52 | 52 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
49 | 49 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
45 | 45 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
45 | 45 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
36 | 36 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
36 | 36 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
35 | 35 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
34 | 34 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
33 | 33 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
30 | 30 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
|
18º
|
25 | 25 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ursus Warszawa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
PEL
3 - 1
UWA
61%
21%
18%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
UWA
1 - 2
PGM
20%
21%
60%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
JAG
1 - 0
UWA
54%
23%
23%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
UWA
1 - 3
KSL
13%
19%
68%
|
30 | 45 | 15 | -2 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
USK
2 - 0
UWA
54%
23%
23%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Lechia T. Mazowiecki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
LTM
1 - 1
SOK
47%
23%
30%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
KSB
0 - 1
LTM
22%
19%
59%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
PEL
1 - 1
LTM
36%
23%
41%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
LTM
3 - 0
PGM
21%
24%
55%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | +3 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
JAG
1 - 1
LTM
38%
23%
39%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | 0 |