Ursus Warszawa vs Lechia T. Mazowiecki analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.1%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.9%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
46%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.9%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ursus Warszawa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
HUR
3 - 0
UWA
47%
24%
29%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
UWA
2 - 3
LWA
43%
23%
34%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2019 |
UWA
0 - 0
USK
37%
22%
41%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2019 |
POL
0 - 0
UWA
73%
17%
10%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2019 |
UWA
3 - 1
BRA
52%
21%
26%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Lechia T. Mazowiecki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
LTM
0 - 0
POL
50%
24%
26%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2019 |
BRA
2 - 1
LTM
23%
21%
56%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2019 |
LTM
4 - 1
RAD
65%
18%
17%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2019 |
SOK
2 - 0
LTM
26%
24%
50%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | -2 |
| 03 Aug. 2019 |
CON
0 - 0
LTM
25%
24%
52%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | -1 |