Ursus Warszawa vs Huragan Wołomin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.3%
Win probability
2.59
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.3%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.1%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.8%
6.9%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ursus Warszawa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
UWA
1 - 0
PEL
45%
27%
29%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
LOM
1 - 2
UWA
46%
25%
29%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
UWA
1 - 2
LWA
39%
26%
35%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | -2 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
LTM
4 - 1
UWA
44%
27%
28%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
UWA
0 - 2
CON
76%
16%
8%
|
41 | 22 | 19 | -2 |
Matches
Huragan Wołomin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
HWP
2 - 0
LOM
14%
18%
69%
|
17 | 33 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
LWA
5 - 0
HWP
88%
8%
3%
|
17 | 38 | 21 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
HWP
1 - 2
LTM
11%
17%
72%
|
17 | 39 | 22 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
CON
2 - 0
HWP
63%
20%
16%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
HWP
0 - 4
WLO
8%
18%
74%
|
18 | 51 | 33 | 0 |