Ursus Warszawa vs Górnik Łęczna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.5%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.3%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
64.2%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
12.4%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.8%
0-3
7.9%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11.3%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ursus Warszawa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 2013 |
BRA
1 - 1
UWA
48%
24%
28%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2013 |
UWA
4 - 2
KFC
42%
24%
33%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | +2 |
| 08 Jun. 2013 |
UWA
0 - 1
ZRP
66%
20%
15%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | -2 |
| 05 Jun. 2013 |
PGM
0 - 5
UWA
44%
24%
32%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | +3 |
| 01 Jun. 2013 |
UWA
1 - 2
TAR
51%
23%
26%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Górnik Łęczna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2013 |
GKS
0 - 0
GOR
45%
28%
28%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2013 |
GOR
2 - 2
SAN
62%
22%
17%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2013 |
TSP
0 - 1
GOR
31%
26%
43%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2013 |
GOR
1 - 1
FLO
41%
26%
33%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2013 |
TER
0 - 0
GOR
62%
22%
16%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | +1 |