UEFA EC U21 Semi-finals
Global 3-1
URSS U21 vs Sweden U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.4%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.7%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.8%
29.2%
Draw
0-0
11.6%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.2%
41.3%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
URSS U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 1990 |
SWE
1 - 1
SUN
78%
16%
7%
|
38 | 65 | 27 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1990 |
GER
1 - 2
SUN
78%
16%
7%
|
36 | 69 | 33 | +2 |
| 14 Mar. 1990 |
SUN
1 - 1
GER
28%
30%
42%
|
36 | 69 | 33 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1989 |
SUN
2 - 0
TUR
38%
25%
38%
|
34 | 55 | 21 | +2 |
| 07 Oct. 1989 |
DDR
3 - 2
SUN
76%
15%
10%
|
34 | 60 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Sweden U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 1990 |
SWE
1 - 1
SUN
78%
16%
7%
|
65 | 38 | 27 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1990 |
SWE
4 - 0
CSK
53%
25%
22%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | +2 |
| 14 Mar. 1990 |
CSK
1 - 2
SWE
60%
23%
17%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 1989 |
POL
1 - 1
SWE
41%
26%
33%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1989 |
SWE
1 - 0
ALB
67%
20%
13%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | +1 |