Urraca CF vs CD Mosconia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.5%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.6%
34.9%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
+42%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
2º
17º
16º
35
5º
15º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
56 | 86 |
1º
|
98.5% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 73 |
2º
|
40% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 71 |
3º
|
35% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 70 |
4º
|
43% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 52 |
5º
|
27% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 51 |
6º
|
23% | |
|
|
5º
|
35 | 50 |
7º
|
22.5% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 46 |
8º
|
20% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 44 |
9º
|
17% | |
|
13º
|
22 | 40 |
10º
|
14% | |
|
10º
|
24 | 39 |
11º
|
10% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 38 |
12º
|
8% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 38 |
13º
|
14% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 37 |
14º
|
12.5% | |
|
15º
|
20 | 32 |
15º
|
20% | |
|
|
16º
|
19 | 31 |
16º
|
24.5% | |
|
17º
|
19 | 31 |
17º
|
28.5% | |
|
18º
|
5 | 13 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 30.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
33.5% | 69.5% |
|
Relegation
|
66.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Urraca CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
CON
1 - 0
URR
35%
28%
38%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
PRA
1 - 3
URR
53%
26%
21%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
URR
1 - 5
SPB
17%
23%
60%
|
28 | 43 | 15 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
URR
0 - 0
ROC
73%
18%
9%
|
28 | 16 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2024 |
CEA
1 - 1
URR
65%
21%
15%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
CD Mosconia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
MOS
1 - 0
PRA
32%
26%
42%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
MOS
2 - 0
ROC
70%
19%
11%
|
26 | 17 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
LEA
1 - 0
MOS
62%
22%
16%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
MOS
0 - 3
ROB
12%
22%
66%
|
28 | 46 | 18 | -2 |
| 06 Dec. 2024 |
RTI
1 - 2
MOS
40%
25%
35%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | +1 |