Urk vs Berkum analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.6%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.1%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
32.3%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Urk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2011 |
DRE
1 - 3
URK
19%
22%
59%
|
37 | 22 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
URK
2 - 0
OLD
63%
20%
18%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
GRI
0 - 2
URK
26%
23%
52%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
URK
1 - 1
LEE
73%
17%
11%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
OEV
0 - 2
URK
24%
23%
53%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Berkum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2011 |
BER
5 - 2
SDC
47%
24%
30%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
DET
2 - 2
BER
42%
24%
34%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
BER
3 - 2
ONS
44%
25%
31%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
ORA
4 - 2
BER
31%
25%
44%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | -2 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
BER
6 - 2
ACV
43%
24%
34%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | +2 |