Segunda Venezuela Quarter-finals
Global 3-0
Ureña vs ULA Mérida analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.9%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
23.3%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ureña
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
ULA
0 - 0
URE
36%
25%
39%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
URE
4 - 0
DRZ
47%
26%
27%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
YAR
3 - 4
URE
39%
26%
34%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
ATL
0 - 2
URE
38%
26%
37%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2021 |
URE
1 - 1
TIT
38%
27%
35%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
ULA Mérida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
ULA
0 - 0
URE
36%
25%
39%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
TIT
1 - 4
ULA
60%
22%
18%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | +2 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
ULA
1 - 0
FLD
27%
25%
48%
|
47 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
LLA
1 - 5
ULA
47%
24%
29%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | +2 |
| 29 Sep. 2021 |
ULA
2 - 2
ZUL
69%
18%
13%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | -1 |