Ureña vs Trujillanos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.3%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.9%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.7%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
47.3%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-38%
+50%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ureña
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
ANZ
4 - 1
URE
69%
19%
12%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
URE
0 - 0
MET
57%
23%
20%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
LAR
2 - 1
URE
66%
21%
13%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
ESC
3 - 3
URE
52%
26%
22%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
URE
1 - 0
EST
38%
27%
35%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Trujillanos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
TRU
3 - 0
ESC
51%
27%
23%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
EST
2 - 0
TRU
30%
28%
42%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
TRU
3 - 0
MIR
65%
23%
12%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2015 |
TRU
2 - 3
LAR
42%
27%
32%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
ARA
4 - 1
TRU
39%
27%
35%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | -1 |