Ureña vs Metropolitanos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.1%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
20.2%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-36%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ureña
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
LAR
2 - 1
URE
66%
21%
13%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
ESC
3 - 3
URE
52%
26%
22%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
URE
1 - 0
EST
38%
27%
35%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2015 |
TRU
3 - 0
URE
58%
25%
17%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2015 |
MIR
1 - 1
URE
34%
31%
35%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Metropolitanos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2015 |
MET
0 - 1
ESC
37%
26%
38%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
EST
0 - 1
MET
58%
24%
19%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2015 |
MET
0 - 1
MIR
45%
27%
28%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2015 |
MET
2 - 2
MON
39%
27%
35%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2015 |
ARA
1 - 0
MET
66%
21%
14%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | 0 |