Venezuelan Cup Last 16
Global 3-3
Ureña vs Llaneros de Guanare analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.3%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.4%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
40.4%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ureña
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
FAL
4 - 4
URE
16%
23%
61%
|
48 | 31 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2018 |
LLA
2 - 1
URE
51%
24%
25%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
URE
1 - 0
TIT
63%
22%
15%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2018 |
ULA
2 - 1
URE
48%
25%
27%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2018 |
EST
4 - 1
URE
64%
21%
15%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Llaneros de Guanare
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
FRO
2 - 1
LLA
23%
26%
51%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2018 |
LLA
2 - 1
URE
51%
24%
25%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
LLA
2 - 1
FAL
81%
13%
6%
|
51 | 32 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
TIT
0 - 0
LLA
27%
26%
48%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2018 |
POR
1 - 3
LLA
57%
24%
20%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | +1 |