Ureña vs Academia Rey analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.6%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.1%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.8%
10.6%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
+44%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
1º
2º
1º
2
11º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
25 | 28 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
25 | 25 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
23 | 23 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
23 | 23 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
22 | 22 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 22 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 21 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 20 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
18 | 18 |
10º
|
84.5% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 16 |
11º
|
84.5% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 16 |
12º
|
84.5% | |
|
13º
|
15 | 15 |
13º
|
84.5% | |
|
14º
|
13 | 13 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
13 | 13 |
15º
|
0% | |
|
|
16º
|
2 | 2 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ureña
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2023 |
YAR
1 - 0
URE
31%
28%
41%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
HFF
0 - 3
URE
40%
27%
33%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
URE
1 - 1
ATL
69%
19%
11%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
ATL
0 - 0
URE
19%
25%
57%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
URE
2 - 1
HFF
53%
25%
21%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Academia Rey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2023 |
FLD
1 - 3
HFF
29%
26%
45%
|
44 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
FLD
2 - 4
ATL
36%
25%
40%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
TIT
0 - 0
FLD
59%
23%
18%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
FLD
1 - 3
TIT
32%
26%
42%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
ATL
2 - 1
FLD
54%
23%
23%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |