Ureña vs Estudiantes de Mérida analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.6%
34.4%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-36%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ureña
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2016 |
URE
2 - 1
FRO
61%
21%
18%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2016 |
ZUL
3 - 0
URE
61%
20%
19%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Jun. 2016 |
FRO
2 - 0
URE
19%
21%
60%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2016 |
ANZ
0 - 0
URE
69%
19%
12%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
URE
2 - 1
CAR
25%
27%
48%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Estudiantes de Mérida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2016 |
EST
0 - 1
TIT
64%
21%
15%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2016 |
EST
1 - 0
ATL
40%
28%
33%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2016 |
TIT
0 - 0
EST
18%
20%
62%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2016 |
EST
0 - 1
TRU
26%
27%
47%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2016 |
ZAM
5 - 0
EST
75%
16%
9%
|
55 | 72 | 17 | -1 |