Ureña vs Estudiantes de Mérida analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.3%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
34.8%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-38%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ureña
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2015 |
TRU
3 - 0
URE
58%
25%
17%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2015 |
MIR
1 - 1
URE
34%
31%
35%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2015 |
URE
0 - 3
TRU
32%
25%
43%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
URE
1 - 1
ARA
42%
27%
31%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2015 |
CAR
0 - 0
URE
48%
28%
24%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Estudiantes de Mérida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2015 |
EST
1 - 0
ZUL
39%
24%
37%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2015 |
EST
1 - 1
ESC
43%
28%
29%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2015 |
ZUL
1 - 1
EST
50%
23%
27%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
LAR
2 - 0
EST
57%
24%
20%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2015 |
MIR
0 - 1
EST
28%
30%
42%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |