Apertura 2ª Venezuela Quarter-finals
Global 6-2
Ureña vs Deportivo Miranda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.1%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
16.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.9%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
22.4%
12.5%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ureña
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
MIR
0 - 1
URE
26%
27%
48%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2023 |
URE
1 - 1
FRO
52%
25%
23%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
FLD
0 - 3
URE
35%
26%
39%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2023 |
TRU
1 - 2
URE
40%
26%
34%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
URE
3 - 2
TIT
39%
27%
34%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Deportivo Miranda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
MIR
0 - 1
URE
26%
27%
48%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2023 |
MAR
0 - 1
MIR
42%
28%
30%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
MIR
1 - 0
AIF
39%
27%
35%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2023 |
MIR
0 - 0
BSC
26%
27%
47%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
DPU
0 - 1
MIR
34%
29%
37%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | +1 |